Should CMM commit $42M to modernize the Montemorelo facility or maintain current operations to preserve labor relations and cash flow?
Proceed with Option 1. Without the capacity increase, the mine will be uncompetitive within 36 months due to grade decline and rising labor costs.
Implement a pilot program on one extraction level before full-scale roll-out. Allocate $5M of the budget specifically for severance and community transition programs to mitigate union opposition.
CMM must proceed with the $42M automation project immediately. The current operating model is a terminal decline scenario. Labor costs are rising faster than copper prices, and the ventilation constraint prevents the volume growth required to offset these costs. The company cannot negotiate its way out of an inefficient cost structure. Approval is granted provided the project team ties the capital release to specific labor productivity milestones. This is not a choice between automation and tradition; it is a choice between modernization and closure.
The assumption that the union will accept a 30% workforce reduction in exchange for retraining is optimistic. The plan underestimates the political cost of local employment loss.
Joint-venture with a technology partner. CMM provides the asset; the partner provides the automation technology and assumes part of the capital risk in exchange for a share of the production gain.
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